Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.395337 0.437269 0.482301 0.534349 0.592954 0.657026 0.732543
2025-05-18 0.330571 0.389123 0.456659 0.540701 0.643008 0.764174 0.919524
2025-05-25 0.285413 0.349747 0.427481 0.529057 0.659365 0.822369 1.043986
2025-06-01 0.260918 0.330465 0.417785 0.536649 0.696052 0.905020 1.203990
2025-06-08 0.237347 0.308966 0.401812 0.532625 0.714803 0.963453 1.335356
2025-06-15 0.221043 0.294895 0.393432 0.536671 0.743168 1.035712 1.491818
2025-06-22 0.203328 0.277067 0.377937 0.528619 0.752552 1.080462 1.611088
2025-06-29 0.189017 0.262612 0.365620 0.523429 0.764696 1.129138 1.740074
2025-07-06 0.171805 0.242638 0.343722 0.501947 0.749796 1.134353 1.799128
2025-07-13 0.164284 0.236111 0.340771 0.508432 0.778076 1.208891 1.979281
2025-07-20 0.157291 0.229792 0.337513 0.513895 0.804754 1.282664 2.165639
2025-07-27 0.150451 0.223179 0.333227 0.517161 0.827737 1.351838 2.350985
2025-08-03 0.143398 0.215912 0.327613 0.518130 0.847452 1.418158 2.540978
2025-08-10 0.137949 0.210812 0.325073 0.523953 0.875962 1.502684 2.776138
2025-08-17 0.129476 0.200323 0.313089 0.512743 0.873239 1.529945 2.901644
2025-08-24 0.125362 0.196631 0.311959 0.520065 0.904321 1.622629 3.170762
2025-08-31 0.119472 0.189638 0.304830 0.516183 0.914200 1.675462 3.362735
2025-09-07 0.115431 0.185480 0.302202 0.520085 0.938889 1.759317 3.632119
2025-09-14 0.109691 0.178108 0.293571 0.512319 0.940287 1.796272 3.801246
2025-09-21 0.104816 0.171958 0.286703 0.507313 0.946602 1.843720 4.000383
2025-09-28 0.097798 0.161728 0.272049 0.486586 0.919685 1.818681 4.024487
2025-10-05 0.095364 0.159435 0.271486 0.492843 0.948284 1.915316 4.356953
2025-10-12 0.092920 0.156986 0.270478 0.498114 0.975192 2.010797 4.700149